Amakuru

Inzobere mu by’ishoramari mu isoko yavuze ko ikimenyetso cyavuye muri Banki Nkuru y’Igihugu cy’Ubumwe bw’Amerika kivuga ko inyungu ku nguzanyo zizagabanuka mu 2024 cyateje imbere isoko rya zahabu, ibi bizatuma ibiciro bya zahabu bizamuka cyane mu mateka mu mwaka mushya.
George Milling Stanley, Umuyobozi Mukuru w’Ingamba z’Imari muri Dow Jones Global Investment Consulting, yavuze ko nubwo ibiciro bya zahabu byazamutse vuba aha, haracyari umwanya munini wo gukura kw’isoko.
Yagize ati: “Iyo zahabu igeze ku rwego rwo hejuru, ntawe uzi uko izazamuka, kandi umwaka utaha dushobora kubona amateka akomeye.”
Nubwo Milling Stanley afite icyizere ku bijyanye na zahabu, yongeyeho ko adateze ko ibiciro bya zahabu bizazamuka mu gihe gito. Yavuze ko nubwo Banki Nkuru y’Igihugu yizeye kugabanya inyungu mu mwaka utaha, ikibazo gisigaye ni igihe cyo kubikemura. Yongeyeho ko mu gihe gito, ibibazo by’igihe bigomba gutuma ibiciro bya zahabu biguma mu rugero rw’ubu.
Mu iteganyagihe rya Dow Jones, itsinda rya Milling Stanley ryemera ko hari amahirwe angana na 50% yo gucuruza zahabu hagati ya $1950 na $2200 kuri garama imwe umwaka utaha. Muri icyo gihe, isosiyete yizeye ko amahirwe yo gucuruza zahabu hagati ya $2200 na $2400 kuri garama imwe ari 30%. Dao Fu yizeye ko amahirwe yo gucuruza zahabu hagati ya $1800 na $1950 kuri garama imwe ari 20% gusa.
Milling Stanley yavuze ko ubuzima bw'ubukungu buzagena uko igiciro cya zahabu kizazamuka.
Yagize ati: “Icyo numva ari uko tuzaba turi mu bihe by’iterambere rirenze iry’icyerekezo, wenda nk’ihungabana ry’ubukungu. Ariko hamwe nabyo, dukurikije ibipimo bya Fed, hashobora kubaho izamuka ry’ibiciro ritoroshye. Ibi bizaba ahantu heza ho kubona zahabu.” “Niba hari ihungabana rikomeye ry’ubukungu, impamvu zacu zo kwihuta zizagaragara.”
Nubwo byitezwe ko ubushobozi bwo kuzamura zahabu bushobora gukurura abashoramari bashya b’ingamba, Milling Stanley yavuze ko inkunga y’igihe kirekire ya zahabu igaragaza ko izamuka ry’ibiciro bya zahabu rizakomeza mu 2024.
Yavuze ko amakimbirane abiri ariho azakomeza kugira aho bagurira zahabu mu buryo bw'umutekano. Yongeyeho ko umwaka w'amatora utazwi neza kandi "ubi" uzongera ubwiza bwa zahabu mu buryo bw'umutekano. Yanavuze ko icyifuzo gikomeje kwiyongera cy'Ubuhinde n'andi masoko ari mu nzira y'amajyambere kizatanga inkunga yo kubona zahabu ifatika.
Kugura zahabu by’inyongera ku mabanki makuru yo mu bihugu bitandukanye bizarushaho kwiyongera kw’impinduka nshya ku isoko.
Yagize ati: “Birumvikana gufata inyungu iyo ibiciro bya zahabu birengeje $2000 kuri ounce mu myaka itanu ishize, kandi ndatekereza ko ari yo mpamvu ibiciro bya zahabu bishobora kugabanuka rimwe na rimwe munsi ya $2000 umwaka utaha. Ariko hari igihe, ndacyizera ko ibiciro bya zahabu bizaguma hejuru ya $2000.” “Mu myaka 14, banki nkuru yagiye igura 10% kugeza kuri 20% by'ibikenewe buri mwaka. Igihe cyose hagaragaye ibimenyetso by'intege nke mu biciro bya zahabu, iyi ni inkunga ikomeye, kandi nizeye ko iyi ngeso izakomeza mu myaka myinshi.”
Milling Stanley yavuze ko yiteze ko igurishwa ryose rikomeye rya zahabu rizagurwa vuba mu gihe habayeho ibibazo by’ubukungu ku isi ndetse n’ihungabana rya politiki.
Yagize ati: “Mu mateka, ubwitange bwa zahabu ku bashoramari bwagiye bugira imiterere ibiri. Uko igihe kigenda gihita, si buri mwaka, ahubwo uko igihe kigenda gihita, zahabu ishobora gufasha kongera inyungu z’ishoramari rikwiye. Igihe icyo ari cyo cyose, zahabu izagabanya ibyago n’ihindagurika ry’ishoramari rikwiye.” “Nizeye ko iyi ntego ebyiri z’inyungu n’uburinzi bizakurura abashoramari bashya mu 2024.”